20.01.2022 – 05:00
NDR North German Broadcasting
Four months before the state elections in Schleswig-Holstein, the CDU is in the lead among voters, followed by the SPD and Bündnis 90/Die Grünen. This results from the current Schleswig-Holstein trend from Infratest dimap on behalf of the NDR. In the Sunday question, the CDU came to 28 percent in the first survey this year. The SPD gains 8 percentage points compared to the last Schleswig-Holstein trend from May 2021 and is at 23 percent. Alliance 90/The Greens lose 7 percentage points and reach 20 percent, the FDP loses one percentage point and is at 10 percent. The AfD comes to 7 percent (plus 1 percentage point), the SSW reaches 4 percent (plus 1 percentage point compared to the previous survey). The left would also not be represented in the state parliament in Kiel, which achieved 3 percent in the Infratest dimap survey (minus 1 percentage point).
A continuation of the Jamaica coalition in Kiel would therefore be possible. Mathematically, however, other constellations could also come about, such as a grand coalition or a traffic light based on the Berlin model (SPD, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP). An alliance of the SPD, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and SSW (“coastal coalition”) would also be possible. If the respondents have their way, a change in the governing coalition is currently not desired. After the election, 36 percent are again backing a CDU-led government. 25 percent are in favor of a change to an SPD-led alliance.
The positive assessment of the current state government is striking. The black-green-yellow government services are popular with seven out of ten voters (71 percent), which is currently the highest value nationwide. Even supporters of the SPD opposition in Kiel view the Jamaican government extremely positively: 74 percent of them are satisfied or very satisfied with the government.
The good economic mood in the country is good for the reputation of Daniel Günther’s government. Two-thirds of those entitled to vote (64 percent) rate the economic situation as very good or good. The popularity of the Prime Minister is also decisive for the good values. Daniel Günther is the most popular politician in the country: 72 percent of eligible voters are satisfied or very satisfied with him. This is also the highest nationwide. Monika Heinold, the top candidate of Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, won over half as many eligible voters (42 percent). Compared to the previous survey from May 2021, it was able to increase its popularity by 8 percentage points. SPD top candidate Thomas Losse-Müller is currently known to just over a quarter of eligible voters and is rated positively by 16 percent.
The corona pandemic is still the most pressing problem for people in Schleswig-Holstein. Only then do the topics of mobility/transport and education/school/training follow.
From January 13 to January 18, 2022, Infratest dimap surveyed a total of 1,167 voters in Schleswig-Holstein by telephone or online. The range of fluctuation is between two percentage points (with a share value of 10 percent) and three percentage points (with a share value of 50 percent). All results are available immediately (5:00 a.m.) at www.ndr.de/sh and free for publication provided the source is named: Infratest dimap commissioned by NDR.
Original content from: NDR Norddeutscher Rundfunk, transmitted by news aktuell