The winter business raises hopes. According to DRV and the data service provider Travel Data + Analytics (TDA), advance bookings for winter holidays have been increasing significantly since September. The focus is, among other things, on long-distance bathing destinations.
The Maldives, the Dominican Republic and the vacation areas in the United Arab Emirates are particularly popular for the travel months from November 2021 to April 2022. According to the TDA evaluation, other top travel destinations in winter are the Canary Islands, Egypt and Turkey.
Canaries are the top seller
Remarkable: A third of the total turnover from package tours and modular trips is based on Canary Islands bookings. The Maldives and the Dominican Republic have almost reached the pre-Corona level again. Egypt is still a long way from achieving such successes. The country on the Nile is currently recording a decline of 53 percent compared to winter 2019/2020. According to the DRV, Egypt is currently well booked – especially in view of the fact that the North African country is still classified as a high-risk area.
But other long-haul classics that were popular with German holidaymakers in the past are also chasing old booking figures. Thailand, Mauritius, Cuba, the Seychelles, Kenya, Tanzania, South Africa and the USA (in this case Florida in particular) have high residues.
Regarding the arrears, it must be remembered that the booking behavior of customers has changed significantly in the past few months. Short-term bookings dominate the business. This is one of the reasons why the upcoming winter season at the end of September was still down 50 percent compared to winter 2019/2020.
Still no planning security
DRV President Norbert Fiebig warns: “There is still uncertainty due to the sometimes rapidly changing entry regulations. At the moment there is still no real planning security – neither for vacationers nor for the travel industry ”.
The DRV is cautiously optimistic about the expectations for the tourism year 2021/2022. It is positive that bookings for cruises are picking up again and those willing to travel make up for their postponed vacation next year. A full recovery will take some time.
“We are preparing for another difficult year. We do not expect a recovery until the second quarter. A sales level similar to that before the pandemic will probably not be reached until 2023 at the earliest, ”predicts Fiebig.
Many industry representatives see it similarly. A DRV survey shows that companies expect a significant business recovery in the coming year, but at the same time they are of the opinion that many months will pass before the corona pre-crisis level is reached. 60 percent expect strong sales that were known before the pandemic in 2023. However, a third do not expect such business results until 2024.
More than 550 tourism companies took part in the association’s survey in mid-October.