24.10.2021 – 10:00
WDR West German Broadcasting
Cologne / Düsseldorf (ots)
After its success in the federal elections, the SPD also gained a lot of support in North Rhine-Westphalia and would currently be the strongest political force. A good six months before the state elections, the CDU is currently recording significant losses in North Rhine-Westphalia after its historically poor performance in the federal government, although satisfaction with the work of the black and yellow state government has increased compared to the last survey in April. This is the result of the NRW trend that Infratest dimap surveyed on behalf of the WDR magazine WESTPOL from October 18 to 21, 2021. With the source WESTPOL (Sunday, October 24th, 2021, 7:30 p.m.) free for publication from 10 a.m.
If there were state elections on this Sunday, the CDU would get 22 percent and lose six points compared to the previous NRW trend from April. It would be clearly behind the SPD, which would come to 31 percent – its best value since the state elections in 2017. While the Social Democrats have improved by 13 points within six months, the Greens have lost nine percentage points and could currently still expect 17 percent. The FDP would achieve a slight improvement in the spring of 13 percent (plus 2). The AfD would be seven percent (minus 1), similar to April, the left unchanged at three percent. While the current black-and-yellow state government would not have a majority at the moment, for the first time since 2014, the SPD and the Greens would again have a red-green government majority in the NRW trend.
Prime Minister Armin Laschet’s term of office is rated negatively by the majority
Armin Laschet plans to resign as Prime Minister tomorrow, Monday, and accept his mandate in Berlin on Tuesday. Every second North Rhine-Westphalia (51 percent) rate his four-year term of office negatively, four out of ten respondents (42 percent) draw a positive balance. Younger citizens are particularly critical: only around one in three (36 percent) between 18 and 39 years of age rate Armin Laschet’s term of office positively.
Shortly before the Prime Minister’s withdrawal from state politics, the supporters of the CDU (80 to 17 percent) draw a clearly positive conclusion. Even among the supporters of the coalition partner FDP, almost half (46 percent) are of the opinion that Laschet was not a good Prime Minister.
Government work is rated better again – Interior Minister Reul more popular than Laschet’s successor Wüst
The state government as a whole was able to improve its reputation significantly compared to April, but the majority continues to be viewed critically. A good four out of ten eligible voters (42 percent, +9) are currently satisfied with the work of the government, a good half (54 percent, -10) are critical. While the majority of the CDU supporters are positive (71 to 26 percent), rejection even outweighs the ranks of the coalition partner FDP (42 to 54 percent).
Laschet’s successor as CDU state chairman and prime minister-designate is the current transport minister, Hendrik Wüst. The 46-year-old CDU politician is still unknown to the majority of North Rhine-Westphalia. Those who were able to rate him in the days before his election as state chairman on Saturday, judge him rather positively (24 to 20 percent). Much better known and more popular are Wüst’s cabinet colleagues Herbert Reul and Karl-Josef Laumann. The work of CDU Interior Minister Herbert Reul was rated positively by 43 percent, while Labor and Health Minister Laumann achieved the same approval rating.
The FDP ministers in the state cabinet are less popular. The FDP economics minister, Andreas Pinkwart (25 to 27 percent), is currently roughly in agreement and disapproval, as is the family and integration minister, Joachim Stamp (17 to 19 percent). The deputy prime minister and FDP state chairman is unknown to every second FDP supporter after four years of government. School Minister Yvonne Gebauer is better known, but attracts significantly more criticism. 41 percent of those questioned are dissatisfied with their work, only 18 percent are satisfied.
Wüst is just ahead of challenger Kutschaty in the direct election – nevertheless, desire for an SPD-led state government
Hendrik Wüst’s opponent in the 2022 state election is Thomas Kutschaty, SPD parliamentary group and state chairman. The North Rhine-Westphalia currently have no real favorites in this duel. If those questioned could vote for the Prime Minister directly, 31 percent would prefer CDU politicians to Wüst, 25 percent SPD man Kutschaty. However, a good four out of ten are currently unable or unwilling to commit to either of the two applicants.
The current preferences for the future formation of a government in North Rhine-Westphalia look clearer. the end. In the current situation, which is clearly shaped by federal politics, one in two (50 percent) is in favor of a political change in favor of the Social Democrats, only just under one in three (32 percent) of those surveyed would like to see a CDU-led state government continue in North Rhine-Westphalia.
Inflation worries more than two-thirds of people
The North Rhine-Westphalia look with concern at the price increases of the past weeks and months. Seven out of ten (70 percent) are very concerned (29 percent) or very concerned (41 percent) about the price development for food and energy. Only three out of ten (29 percent) are currently less concerned or not at all about the rising prices. In households with low incomes, as many as 80 percent of citizens are very or very worried about the increased prices for electricity, gas and fuel. The economic situation in the state as a whole is currently causing the citizens of the state less worry. Half of the respondents rated the economic situation in North Rhine-Westphalia as very good or good.
For the NRW trend, Infratest dimap surveyed a total of 1,172 eligible voters in North Rhine-Westphalia by telephone (764) and online (408) from October 18 to 21. Your answers are representative of all eligible voters.
The questions were:
How do you assess the current economic situation in North Rhine-Westphalia?
Which party would you vote for if there was a state election in North Rhine-Westphalia next Sunday?
How satisfied are you with the work of the state government in North Rhine-Westphalia?
If it were up to you: Which party should lead the next state government in North Rhine-Westphalia?
Now it’s about how satisfied you are with some politicians. Are you familiar with the political work of … (Karl-Josef Laumann, Herbert Reul, Hendrik Wüst, Andreas Pinkwart, Joachim Stamp, Yvonne Gebauer)
If you could elect the Prime Minister of North Rhine-Westphalia directly, who would you choose? (Hendrik Wüst, Thomas Kutschaty, don’t know / no answer)
Armin Laschet has been Prime Minister of North Rhine-Westphalia since 2017. If you look back on the past four years: was Armin Laschet all in all a good Prime Minister or wasn’t he?
The rate of price increase has exceeded the 4 percent limit for the first time in many years. The prices for heating, fuel and food are particularly clear
gone up. Are you very big, big, less worried about it, or not at all?
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Original content by: WDR Westdeutscher Rundfunk, transmitted by news aktuell